• 2 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • Well maybe one person is a little bit more impressed by some pretty pictures than another person. I really don’t see what that has to do with a company like Microsoft putting their money into this? They don’t make songs or movie trailers.

    To me I’m stunned but that’s just me, on top of this we’re only in year like 5 of AI going mainstream, where will it be in 10 years? 20 years?

    This is a common trap a lot of people fall into. See what improvements have been made the last couple of years, who knows where it will end up right? Unfortunately, reality doesn’t work like that. Improvements made in the past don’t guarantee improvements will continue in the future. There are ceilings that can be run into and are hard to break. There can even be hard limits that are impossible to break. There might be good reasons to not further develop promising technologies from the past into the future. There is no such thing as infinite growth.

    Edit:

    Just checked out that song, man that song is shit…

    “My job vanished without lift.” What does that even mean? That’s not even English.

    And that’s just one of the dozens of issues I’ve seen in 30 secs. You are kidding yourself if you think this is the future, that’s one shit future bro.


  • What’s your point?

    Sure that’s the point of venture capital, throwing some money at the wall and see what sticks. You’d expect to have most of them fail, but the one good one makes up for it.

    However in this case it isn’t people throwing some money at startups. It’s large companies like Microsoft throwing trillions into this new tech. And not just the one company looking for a little niche to fill, all of them are all in, flooding the market with random shit.

    Uber and Spotify are maybe not the best examples to use, although they are examples of people throwing away money in hopes of some sort of payoff (even though they both made a small profit recently, but nowhere near digging themselves out of the hole). They are however problematic in the way they operate. Uber’s whole deal is exploiting workers, turning employees into contractors just to exploit them. And also skirting regulations around taxis for the most part. They have been found to be illegal in a lot of civilised countries and had to change the way they do business there, limit their services or not operate in those countries at all. Spotify is music and the music industry is a whole thing I won’t get into.

    The current AI bubble isn’t comparable to venture capital investing in some startups. It’s more comparable to the dotcom bubble, where the industry is perceived to move in a certain direction. Either companies invest heavily and get with the times, or they die. And smart investors put their money in anything with the new tech, since that’s where the money is going to be made. Back then the new tech was the internet, now the new tech is AI. We found out the hard way, it was total BS. The internet wasn’t the infinite money glitch people thought it was and we all paid the price.

    However the scale of that bubble was small as compared to this new AI bubble. And the internet was absolutely a trans-formative technology, changing the way we work and live forever. It’s too early to say if this LLM based “AI” technology will do the same, but I doubt it. The amount of BS thrown around these days is too high. As someone with a somewhat good grasp of how LLMs actually work on a fundamental level, the promised made aren’t backed up by facts. And the amount of money being put into this aren’t near any even optimistic payoff in the future.

    If you want to throw in a simple, over simplified example: This AI boom is more like people throwing money at Theranos than anything else.




  • The thing that really pisses me off sometimes is that even if this current “AI” shit somehow morphs into something resembling true AGI and is able to take over a whole lot of jobs, that’s not a good thing! That’s not something anybody should want at all. It means flooding the job market with a whole lot of folk, with skills that are no longer valid (since the AI can do it). Maybe some people keep their jobs and are more of a supervisor kind of thing to the AI or can work alongside the AI somehow, but a big number of people simply won’t have jobs anymore and can’t be easily employed again. We currently have no social structures in place to deal with this situation, it would be absolutely terrible. Furthermore as the AI thing can work 24/7 with no breaks, no vacation, no sickness and only requires energy, the value of the work being done goes down by a lot. So even the people that are still employed would need to compete and wages would inevitably drop. Do we honestly expect all the CEOs, owners and other rich folk to suddenly have a change of heart and start sharing their wealth? Not very likely I think. All that money they intend to make they will keep for themselves. They pay millions for accountants, tax specialists and lawyers, in order to not pay any taxes. They hate poor people, they hate social systems, they just want all the money for themselves. But even they will in the end be betrayed, since with the job market crashing, the economy will also crash. It doesn’t matter how cheap you can produce the products with AI, if there isn’t anyone with money to buy shit.

    Now personally I don’t think the current AI shit can do those things. It’s all marketing hype and a big inflated bubble which will pop in the next few years. LLMs are deeply flawed and can never become anything resembling AGI. But like, why are we even trying. It’s Pandora’s box and we need to keep a lid on it. Our current world is ruled by capitalism and that won’t do well if labour is suddenly basically free.

    I just can’t help but think to myself: “Humans need not apply



  • There is another factor in this which often gets overlooked. A LOT of the money invested right now is for the Nvidia chips and products based around them. As many gamers are painfully aware, these chips devalue very quickly. With the progress of technology moving so fast, what was once a top of the line unit gets outclassed by mid tier hardware within a couple of years. After 5 years it’s usefulness is severely diminished and after 10 years it is hardly worth the energy to run them.

    This means the window for return on investment is a lot shorter than usual in tech. For example when creating a software service, there would be an upfront investment for buying the startup that created the software. Then some scaling investment in infrastructure and such. But after that it turns into a steady state where the input of money is a lot lower than revenue from the customer base that was grown. This allows to get returns on investment for many years after that initial investment and growth phase.

    With this Ai shit it works a bit different. If you want to train and run the latest models in order to remain competitive in the market, you would need to continually buy the latest hardware from Nvidia. As soon as you start running on older hardware, your product would be left behind and with all the competition out there users would be lost very quickly. It’s very hard to see how the trillions of dollars invested now are ever going to be recovered within the span of five years. Especially in a time where so much companies are dumping their products for very low prices and sometimes even for free.

    This bubble has to burst and it is going to be bad. For the people who were around when the dotcom bubble burst, this is going to be much worse than that ever was.



  • You would have to ask a doctor, don’t take medical advice from the internet.

    From what I know it can irritate the skin and can lead to long term issues with the skin like dermatitis. It can also cause blood vessels to rupture under the skin, which is usually not a big issue and will heal. But it can cause some pain and leave a mark when healed and will only heal when it is given time to rest up, which can be hard if one is used to a lot of masturbation. If it isn’t allowed to heal, it can cause more problems. I’m sure there can be more issues, but I don’t know about those.

    A lot of the risks of masturbation are myths or exaggerated a lot. Wanking once or twice a day is probably fine. And your body will let you know when you’ve overdone it.

    And to add: Poor hygiene is a lot bigger risk than masturbation ever is. Keep your bottoms clean!


  • PORNHUB

    It’s Pornhub, like https://pornhub.com/. One of the biggest (if not the biggest) porn site on the planet, used by millions if not billions. There is nothing wrong with watching porn if you feel like it. What you do in your own home is your own business. Just don’t wank too much, or you are going to have health issues. Which are also totally normal and you should just go talk to your doctor, they will not be surprised or shocked, it is literally their job to deal with stuff like that.

    I feel the world is going crazy. Shoving all of this stuff under the carpet isn’t helping anyone and won’t make it go away. Half of the time I can’t understand my young niece and nephew because they speak in this code language, evolving all the time so they can talk about normal stuff young people talk about and stay ahead of the big censor machine. And often it’s censored so poorly, everyone can still read it, like what was the point then?


  • On the one hand I hate a society with cameras all over the place, monitoring every aspect of our lives in order to fix one issue. I don’t want to end up in a super controlled environment, where everything we do is tracked and we are punished if it doesn’t conform to some arbitrary standard. Especially if that standard can change depending on whichever dipshit is in charge this week. And abuse is right around the corner, with cameras installed for one purpose quietly being used for a whole other purpose.

    On the other hand, I ride my bike to work every day and the way people drive has gotten way worse the past few years. Cars have gotten huge and people just don’t care at all about their fellow man. Those big cars give a sense of safety and disconnect the driver from their environment. So driving too fast is easier and a form of complacency can set in, not paying attention or thinking they can get away with more than they actually can. We are also moving towards a very selfish and individualistic society. This means people being busy on their phones even while driving. But also cars that are super loud and emit way more emissions than really necessary.

    So I would actually like a bit more regulation and actual enforcement of the regulation that’s already in place. The number of near death life flashing before your eyes moments I’ve had trying to ride my bike to work has increased to an uncomfortable level. I’d wish people would care a bit more about their fellow man and the world, but alas it’s not to be i’m afraid.



  • She did a follow-up on this on a recent Q&A with Adam Savage. She doesn’t use it at all, because her stump is too small. This means she has almost no leverage and strength in the stump. She said she likes the aesthetics but it’s not practical.

    Imho she needs something with like a servo assist or something hydraulic. But that means stuff like a power supply, pump, sensor, controller, plumbing etc. It would get messy fast for something that’s on your hand. If it’s more of the hand it could make sense, but the loss of only the little finger probably has almost zero impact on the use of the hand.